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Port hedland's iron ore exports increased to 48.755 million tons in November.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.The space robot won the TGA annual game "Black Myth Wukong", the TGA award ceremony is in progress, and "Astro Bot" won the TGA annual game. Other nominated games include Black Myth: Wukong, Clown Card, Eldon Circle: The Shadow of Huang Jinshu, Final Fantasy 7: Rebirth, Metaphorical Fantasy: Refantazio. Cosmic Robot is a game work developed by Team ASOBI and released by Sony Interactive Entertainment. Players and ASTRO have launched a brand-new super-large adventure trip to explore more than 50 exciting and varied worlds. The release of the game coincides with the 30th anniversary of PlayStation game console, and a lot of tribute elements have been added to the game works, which has also become one of the reasons why the game attracts worldwide attention. (Sina Technology)

Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term."Black Myth: Wukong" won two TGA awards and is competing for the best game of the year. On December 13th, the reporter learned that at the TGA(The Game Awards)2024 award ceremony, the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" won the best action game and the player's voice award, and the best game award is in the competition. Jiang Baicun, the director of the planning of Black Myth: Wukong, said in his acceptance speech: "It is a great honor to win this award. First of all, I want to thank every player. It is your support that makes such an oriental myth about courage and wisdom shine on such a stage. I also want to thank the organizers for not setting up an' air wall' during my coming to power." (Dahe Finance Cube)Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.

Guangdong has issued a batch of personnel appointments and dismissals. According to the news of WeChat official account, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government has appointed and dismissed staff. Appoint Guan Jin as the deputy director of the General Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year; Appointed Chen Yongkang as Deputy Director of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Justice; Zhang Hezhi was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Appointed Ke Mofu as Deputy Director of the Local Records Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Liu Huilin was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year. Li Mingliang was removed from the post of chairman of Guangdong Inspection and Certification Institute Group Co., Ltd.; Jin Ping was removed from the post of deputy director of the Guangdong Provincial Ethnic and Religious Affairs Committee and retired; Lai Haibin was removed from the post of director (deputy department level) of Guangdong Ecological Environmental Protection Supervision Office and retired; Jiao Fangtai was removed from the post of vice president of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and retired; Chen Tinggen was removed from the post of vice president of Wuyi University and retired; Wu Qifeng was removed from the post of Dean of Guangdong Songshan Vocational and Technical College and retired; Jasmine Zhang was removed from the post of president of Maoming Vocational and Technical College and retired; Tan Xuerui was removed from the post of Dean of Shantou University School of Medicine and retired.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.In the communication service sector, the daily limit of Bee Assistant was higher, and the communication service sector was higher. The daily limit of Xiangjiang and Bee Assistant in the city was higher. Three-dimensional communication and Beiwei Technology were previously closed, and Runze Technology rose by more than 10%. Century Hengtong, Halo New Network, Chaoxun Communication, Guangmai Technology and Runjian shares followed suit.